US-China Chip War: Has a Company Already Collapsed?

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In recent weeks, a palpable shift has occurred in the relationship between the United States and China, with increasing antagonism becoming more obviousThis growing hostility was evidenced when the U.Splaced 136 Chinese companies on a restrictive blacklist, prompting a swift and pointed response from China’s Ministry of CommerceUnder 24 hours later, China issued a strengthened notice regarding dual-use items, directly addressing the U.Sactions.

At the same time, a probe was announced against Nvidia, a leading figure in the global tech industry, raising the question: why now? What prompted China to take action against one of the pivotal companies driving the AI revolution globally?

This new round of the chip war has surfaced rapidly, showing that U.Sfirms are not yet falteringNevertheless, other reports reveal an American company has already halted productionThis situation hasn't led to any mitigation for the U.S.; instead, it has doubled down in its confrontational strategies

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Recent legislations even put a ban on the usage of Chinese-made lidar technology, while the humble garlic from China was listed as a target for sanctionsThe U.Sgovernment painted a picture of Chinese garlic growing in wastewater and being processed under appalling conditions, alleging the involvement of forced and child labor in its production.

This raises a critical question: is the U.Sprepared to completely sever ties with China or has it simply run out of creative solutions? Or are its efforts merely a poorly disguised act, destined to backfire?

The tension between China and the U.Shas escalated, appearing even more alarming than beforeThis recent tussle suggests an aggressive stance, with the U.Sseemingly adopting a 'hit first and ask questions later' approach in seeking to significantly undermine China's position.

Ignoring U.Sactions, the examination of China’s investigation of Nvidia is telling

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Nvidia, known for its dominant share (up to 90%) in the GPU market, holds considerable power in shaping tech commodities.

In response to the investigation by Chinese regulators, Nvidia boldly claimed its willingness to cooperate with any inquiries, which many interpreted as an arrogant stanceThis is remarkable given that the ongoing AI boom heavily relies on GPUs, indicating a clear demand from China for Nvidia’s technology as it advances its AI initiatives.

Yet, the examination of Nvidia aligns with actual legal infractions, such as the allegations of discriminatory sales practices and improper bundlingWhile China has long been aware of these violations, the question is why this confrontation occurred precisely at this juncture.

One must consider Jensen Huang, Nvidia's co-founder, who stirred speculation with his unexpected trip to VietnamDuring this visit, he made headlines announcing plans to establish research and data centers in Vietnam

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While such pursuits may seem innocuous, the timing raises eyebrowsIt appears that Huang might be leveraging Vietnam as an alternative in the midst of tensions with China, thus contributing to the narrative of decoupling from the Chinese economy.

This behavior, characterized as biting the hand that feeds, certainly drew the ire of Chinese authoritiesHuang's maneuvering is perceived as an attempt to pressure China for concessions amid an already tense backdrop.

In addition to responding to Nvidia’s actions, China also aims to counteract the broader U.Sinitiatives that threaten its economic interestsThe risk of becoming increasingly isolated appears to have provoked a defensive responseThe recent legislative moves by the U.Sagainst Chinese companies, especially giants like DJI and Daotong, coupled with the mention of Chinese garlic as a security threat, highlight a troubling trend of scapegoating.

This raises the broader question: is the U.S

genuinely preparing to cut all ties with China? The current reality suggests otherwiseIn fact, since July of the previous year, China has already imposed export restrictions on critical minerals and materials like gallium, germanium, antimony, and ultra-hard materialsBy October, additional sanctions targeting U.Sdefense firms were enacted, indicating a willingness to counter U.Smeasures.

The repercussions of these sanctions are emerging, with American firms beginning to feel the strainFor instance, Skydio, the largest drone manufacturer in the U.S., faces severe supply chain disruptions, primarily due to the cutoff of battery supplies from its sole distributor, which is a Japanese subsidiary based in Dongguan.

With such significant disruptions, questions arise about the future viability of these American firms, especially those that have been vocal about advocating for punitive measures against competitors like DJI

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Skydio’s push to eliminate DJI from the market illustrates the competitive aggression that often masks itself as a matter of national security.

The ongoing developments in legislation from the U.SHouse of Representatives to ban DJI and Daotong raises eyebrows, conjuring memories of prior attempts that ultimately floundered due to DJI’s overwhelming dominant market presence, which exceeds 80% within the U.Smarket.

The dilemma for the U.Sgovernment is compounded by the fact that, while it might opt out of using DJI drones, law enforcement and military needs offer a different narrativeThe reality is that American police have come to depend significantly on UAV technology for operational efficiencies and suspect tracking, leading to a concerning reliance on these drones for preserving officer safety.

Moreover, one must ponder why eager consumers in the U.Scontinue to favor DJI products over domestically-made alternatives

Simply put, the price point and technology offered by American manufacturers often fail to compete with DJI’s offerings, which are not only more affordable but also superior in performance.

This drone debacle perhaps underscores a broader theme that U.Sassertions of national security, often used as justifications for sanctions against China, may simply serve as a guise for underlying competitive anxietiesAs seen historically, punitive strategies rarely yield the desired outcomes; it is the substance of industry prowess that ultimately prevails.

Continuing down this path of misguided confrontation risks not only failing to undermine Chinese technological advancements but could also engender significant resentment both globally and domestically within the U.Spopulace.

In essence, as the ideological and economic rift deepens, the long-term repercussions may redefine not just bilateral relations but also alter global perceptions, prompting a reevaluation of reliance on traditional power dynamics in favor of a multifaceted, cooperative network.

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