The global gold market has recently demonstrated remarkable resilience, with spot gold trading around $2719.22 per ounce, exhibiting a notable upward trajectoryOn Wednesday, gold prices surged by more than $20, marking the fourth consecutive day of increasesDuring this rally, prices briefly peaked at $2720.98 per ounce, closely approaching the nearly month-long high of $2721.21 reached on November 25.

At the heart of this bullish trend are recent inflation figures released by the United States, which aligned closely with market expectationsThis data has significantly bolstered market sentiment regarding the Federal Reserve's potential interest rate cuts in the coming weekInvestors are now intently focusing on the upcoming Producer Price Index (PPI) data, acknowledging its significance in providing critical insights into future monetary policy directions.

In detail, the U.S

Advertisements

Department of Labor unveiled key statistics regarding the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for November, which indicated a month-over-month increase of 0.3% and a year-over-year increase of 2.7%, up from October’s annual rise of 2.6%. These figures matched economists' predictions reported in a Reuters survey, reinforcing the notion of stability in inflation rates.

"The rise in gold prices stems from CPI data that is moderate and meets expectations, showing that inflation has not spiked but remains stable," commented David Meger, director of metals trading at High Ridge Futures"This scenario all but guarantees the Federal Reserve will consider interest rate cuts at the upcoming Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting."

Further cementing these sentiments, the CME's FedWatch tool displayed a staggering 98% likelihood that the Fed will reduce rates by 25 basis points in its December 17-18 meetings, a significant increase from 86% before the inflation data was released

Advertisements

Marc Chandler, chief market strategist for Bannockburn Forex, noted, "The market's confidence in the Fed cutting rates next week is robust, especially as they seldom act contrary to such strong market expectations."

Echoing this perspective, Eric Winograd, head of developed market economic research at AllianceBernstein, remarked, "The CPI data is broadly in line with expectations, which won’t sway the Fed's decision-making; I expect them to reduce rates next week." Even more assertively, Brian Jacobsen, chief economist at Annex Wealth Management, stated, "With the employment and inflation reports now made public, nothing seems to stand in the way of the Fed executing a 25 basis point rate cut next week."

Additionally, the Bank of Canada's decision to lower its key policy rate by 50 basis points to 3.25% on Wednesday offered further support to gold prices by decreasing the opportunity cost of holding gold

Advertisements

In a parallel development, the European Central Bank (ECB) is also expected to implement another cut on Thursday and indicated its intent to loosen policies into 2025. Such global central bank easing dynamics undeniably provide a sustained upward impetus for gold prices.

Investors remain alert, however, as they await the PPI data set for release on Thursday, which will further clarify the Fed's rate cut trajectoryNitesh Shah, a commodity strategist at WisdomTree, forecasts, "We believe gold prices could reach $3000 per ounce by the end of 2025."

It's important to highlight that the recent increase in gold prices has also been influenced by geopolitical tensionsThe Israeli Defense Forces announced the capture of several Syrian tanks and a cache of weapons during operations in a southern Syrian buffer zone, while continuing activities within the buffer area between the two nations

• Iron Supply Set to Stabilize Gradually
• NVIDIA to Part Ways with Supermicro
• AI Industry Shift: From Nvidia to Broadcom
• Google's Announcement Stirs the AI Community
• CATL to Invest 80 Billion in European Battery Expansion